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Tahoe City, California 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for 2 Miles SW Dollar Point CA
National Weather Service Forecast for: 2 Miles SW Dollar Point CA
Issued by: National Weather Service Reno, NV
Updated: 12:18 am PST Dec 27, 2024
 
Overnight

Overnight: Rain and snow showers, becoming all rain after 1am.  Snow level 6400 feet rising to 7200 feet. Low around 32. Breezy, with a southwest wind around 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of around an inch possible.
Rain/Snow and
Breezy

Friday

Friday: Showers likely, mainly before 7am.  Snow level 7200 feet. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 40. Breezy, with a west wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers
Likely and
Breezy then
Mostly Sunny
Friday
Night
Friday Night: A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 10pm, then rain showers likely.  Snow level 6600 feet rising to 8000 feet after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. Southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Rain/Snow
Likely then
Showers
Likely
Saturday

Saturday: Showers likely, mainly after 7am.  Snow level 8500 feet. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Showers
Likely

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers.  Snow level 8200 feet lowering to 7400 feet after midnight . Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Chance
Showers

Sunday

Sunday: Rain showers before 4pm, then rain, possibly mixed with snow showers.  Snow level 7100 feet. High near 39. Breezy, with a southwest wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Breezy.
Showers then
Rain/Snow
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Snow showers likely before 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Snow Showers
Likely then
Partly Cloudy
Monday

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 35.
Mostly Sunny

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 21.
Partly Cloudy

Lo 32 °F Hi 40 °F Lo 34 °F Hi 41 °F Lo 36 °F Hi 39 °F Lo 22 °F Hi 35 °F Lo 21 °F

Winter Weather Advisory
 

Overnight
 
Rain and snow showers, becoming all rain after 1am. Snow level 6400 feet rising to 7200 feet. Low around 32. Breezy, with a southwest wind around 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of around an inch possible.
Friday
 
Showers likely, mainly before 7am. Snow level 7200 feet. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 40. Breezy, with a west wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
 
A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 10pm, then rain showers likely. Snow level 6600 feet rising to 8000 feet after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. Southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Saturday
 
Showers likely, mainly after 7am. Snow level 8500 feet. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
 
A 40 percent chance of showers. Snow level 8200 feet lowering to 7400 feet after midnight . Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday
 
Rain showers before 4pm, then rain, possibly mixed with snow showers. Snow level 7100 feet. High near 39. Breezy, with a southwest wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Sunday Night
 
Snow showers likely before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Monday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 35.
Monday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 21.
Tuesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 36.
Tuesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 25.
New Year's Day
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 41.
Wednesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 29.
Thursday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 45.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 2 Miles SW Dollar Point CA.

Weather Forecast Discussion
600
FXUS65 KREV 262207
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
207 PM PST Thu Dec 26 2024

.SYNOPSIS...

* Wet and windy weather continues through Friday, with valley
  rain, mountain snow, and a burst of strong winds early Friday
  morning for the Sierra Front and the Eastern Sierra.

* Another storm arrives Sunday, bringing more Sierra snow, valley
  rain, and gusty winds.

* Dry and milder weather returns next week with occasional light
  showers and valley inversions possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Current Storm - through Friday:

 * Winds: Strong gusts up to 60+ mph are likely early Friday for
   the Reno-Carson-Minden area and Mono County. Surrounding areas
   will see gusts of 45+ mph. Sierra ridges may see gusts up to
   140 mph, creating hazardous conditions for travel and
   backcountry recreation. High Wind Warnings and Wind Advisories
   are in effect.

 * Precipitation: Expect Sierra snow above 6000 ft, with totals
   exceeding 12 inches along the highest passes. Valley rain will
   result in wet roads, with slick conditions possible in colder
   areas. Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect for northeast
   California, the Greater Lake Tahoe Area, and Mono County.

 * Travel impacts: Be prepared for difficult travel due to snow
   and high winds. Check road conditions with CalTrans and NDOT,
   and flight schedules before traveling.


Break in Weather - Saturday:

* A brief dry period is expected Saturday, with increasing winds
  along ridges in the evening.


Next Storm - Late Saturday Night-Sunday:

 * Winds: Another round of strong winds with gusts up to 50+ mph
   in valleys and 100+ mph on Sierra ridges.

 * Precipitation: Light to moderate snow accumulations, with 2-6
   inches possible at higher passes such as Donner Summit and
   Carson Pass. Snow levels will start near 8000 feet Saturday
   night before dropping to 5500-6000 feet by Sunday evening.

 * Travel Impacts: Strong winds and snow may create additional
   travel challenges.


Next Week:

* Drier and milder conditions return, but valley inversions and
  light showers are possible. Stay updated on conditions and
  travel safely!

-Johnston

&&

.AVIATION...

* Strong W/NW flow aloft will persist through the weekend with waves
  to pass through late tonight/Friday and again Sunday. Showers will
  continue to favor the Sierra with brief periods of spillover.
  Winds will also continue to be strong with each system with
  rotors, moderate to severe turbulence and LLWS.

* Snow levels will remain high enough to precluded snow
  accumulation for area terminals. Even at KMMH, where it will
  snow at times, precipitation intensity will be very light as
  storms focus north of that area. Periods of MVFR and terrain
  obscurement(brief IFR conditions) for KTRK-KTVL. Brief MVFR at
  KMMH with VFR lower elevation sites in brief rain showers.

* FL100 winds will continue to average 50+ kts with periods of
  elevated winds to 70 kts associated with each wave. Some of latest
  guidance indicates FL100 winds peaking around 80 kts at 12Z Friday
  with downslope signature apparent along the lee of the Sierra
  overnight. Given the W/NW trajectory of winds, would not be
  surprised to see surface gusts 65+ kt for a 2-4 hour window from
  KMEV-KMMH (30% chance) overnight.

* Quiet stretch of weather expected Mon-Thu (New Year`s travel
  plans) with VFR outside of Sierra valley fog and much lighter
  winds.

Hohmann

&&

.AVALANCHE...

Two winter storms will impact the Sierra, the first through Friday
morning, and the second late Saturday night into Sunday. The
first storm will bring light to moderate snow accumulations to the
Sierra and strong winds, especially late tonight into Friday
morning. The second storm looks to bring much lighter snowfall
accumulations with the main impact being strong, gusty winds.

Storm 1 (Through Friday):

 * Timing: Snow levels rising to 8000 feet today; precipitation
   peaks tonight into Friday morning.

 * Snow Levels: Initial snow levels near 5500 feet, rising to
   8000 feet by Friday.

 * Winds: Sustained ridge winds above 70 mph with gusts up to 140
   mph, contributing to wind shear at ridgetop level.

 * Precipitation: Up to 2 inches of liquid equivalent along the Sierra
   crest in the Tahoe Basin and 0.90-1.50 inches of liquid
   equivalent along the Sierra crest in the Eastern Sierra, with
   snowfall rates exceeding 1 inch per hour between 9 PM tonight
   and 6 AM PST Friday.

 * Probabilities: 50-80% chance of SWE exceeding 1 inch in 24 hours
   above 7000 feet increasing from south to north along the
   Sierralimited solar intensity due to dense cloud cover.

Storm 2 (Sunday):

 * Timing: Precipitation begins late Saturday, peaks Sunday, and
   transitions to showers Sunday night.

 * Snow Levels: Falling from 8000 feet Saturday night to
   5500-6000 feet by Sunday evening.

 * Winds: Sustained ridge winds continue above 65 mph, with gusts
   potentially exceeding 100 mph.

 * Precipitation: 0.75 inches of liquid equivalent along the Sierra
   crest west of Lake Tahoe and up 0.10-0.50 inches south into
   the Eastern Sierra, with snowfall rates exceeding 0.5 inches
   per hour at times.

 * Probabilities: 15-40% chance of SWE exceeding 1 inch in 24 hours
   above 7000 feetlimited solar intensity due to dense cloud
   cover.

-Johnston

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Two winter storms will impact the Sierra, the first through
Friday morning, and the second late Saturday night into Sunday.
With higher snow levels with the Saturday-Sunday system, minor
rises on area creeks and streams are expected across northeast
California and the northern Sierra. At this time, no flooding is
expected.

-Johnston

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...Wind Advisory from 1 AM to 1 PM PST Friday NVZ005.

     Winter Weather Advisory until noon PST Friday NVZ002.

     High Wind Warning from 1 AM to 1 PM PST Friday NVZ001-003.

     Lake Wind Advisory until 5 PM PST this afternoon NVZ004.

CA...Wind Advisory from 1 AM to 1 PM PST Friday CAZ070.

     Winter Weather Advisory until noon PST Friday CAZ071>073.

     High Wind Warning from 1 AM to 1 PM PST Friday CAZ073.

&&

$$
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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